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Concept

Ackerman Model

The Ackerman model is a bargaining plan in which a buyer sets a target price, opens at 65% of it, raises the offer in three shrinking steps to 85%, 95% and 100%, and ends on a precise, non-round number.

Chris Voss describes the Ackerman model in Never Split the Difference as the method he learned from Mike Ackerman, a kidnap-for-ransom consultant, and used in kidnapping cases. It replaces improvised haggling with a plan made before the conversation. The shrinking steps signal that you are nearing your limit, and a precise final figure such as 37,893 rather than 38,000 looks calculated and therefore firm. Two further rules matter: let the other side counter before each raise, using empathy and calibrated questions rather than bargaining against yourself, and add a small non-monetary item to the final offer to show you have nothing left to give. The same logic can be reversed by a seller.

A real-life example

A buyer in Kocaeli sets 800,000 lira as her target for a used car priced at 900,000. She offers 520,000, waits for the seller to move, then goes to 680,000 and 760,000, asking 'How am I supposed to pay that?' in between. Her final offer is 797,850 lira with the winter tyres included. The seller keeps the tyres and accepts the price.

How to use it

  1. 1Before bargaining, write down your target and its 65%, 85% and 95% values.
  2. 2Raise only after the other side has countered, and make each step smaller than the last.
  3. 3Make the final number precise and non-round, and attach a small non-monetary request.