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Concept

Intrinsic Value

Intrinsic value is an estimate of what a business is actually worth, built from its record of earnings, dividends and assets over several years, and kept deliberately separate from the price the market happens to quote today.

Benjamin Graham's method rests on one stubborn distinction: price and value are different numbers made by different processes. Price is set every few seconds by whoever happens to be trading. Value is something you estimate slowly, from what the business has actually done. That means its average earnings over several years rather than one bright year, the dividends it has really paid and the assets on its balance sheet. Graham never claimed the estimate could be precise. A sensible range is enough, because its job is narrow: to tell you whether a stock is plainly cheap, plainly dear, or somewhere you cannot judge. The order matters. If you look at the price first, it quietly becomes your anchor and your 'estimate' drifts towards it. Work out the range first, write it down, and only then check what the market asks. When the answer is 'cannot judge', walking away is a valid result.

A real-life example

Daniel is looking at a regional food distributor whose shares trade at £14. Before opening the chart, he averages seven years of earnings per share and gets about £1.10. He notes steady dividends and net assets near £9 a share. Applying a conservative multiple, he lands on a range of £11 to £15. At £14 the stock sits inside his range, not below it. It is not plainly cheap, so he waits.

How to use it

  1. 1Before looking at the share price, gather five to ten years of earnings, dividends and asset figures. Average the earnings rather than trusting the latest year.
  2. 2Turn those figures into a range, not a single number, using conservative assumptions, and write the range down before you go further.
  3. 3Only now compare it with the market price. Clearly below the range is a candidate, clearly above is a pass, and anything in between means you cannot judge yet.